Abstract
Background
To evaluate the associations of state laws restricting firearms and incidence rates of suicide in men and women using a cross-sectional design.
Methods
States were divided into three categories based on the restrictiveness of their firearm laws: restrictive (n =8); modest (n =22); and unrestrictive (n =20). State suicide incidence rates stratified by gender were compared using Poisson regression analyses that controlled for measures of race/ethnicity, income, and urbanization. Analyses were based on 2000 census data and state suicide data from 1999 and 2000.
Results
In the analysis of women, compared to states with restrictive firearm laws, there were higher suicide incidence rate ratios (IRR) in states with modest (IRR=1.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.34–2.01) and unrestrictive laws (IRR=1.55; 95% CI, 1.23–1.95). The analysis of men showed comparable results: modest firearm laws (IRR=1.51; 95% CI, 1.27–1.79); unrestrictive firearm laws (IRR=1.49; 95% CI, 1.23–1.82).
Conclusions
Results support the hypothesis that state restrictions on firearms have the potential to reduce the suicide rate. Findings do not support a hypothesis that greater firearm restrictions are associated with the substitution of alternative methods of suicide. Firearms appear to be a comparable exposure for suicide in men and women. Although men are more likely to use firearms in suicide than women, this difference may merely reflect more frequent gun ownership among men.
Introduction
I n the United States, suicide is the eleventh leading cause of death and the fifth leading cause of years of potential life lost before age 75.
1National Center for Injury Prevention and Control. Years of potential life lost reports, 1999–2000. WISQARS Years of potential life lost reports, 2002. Available at: http://webapp.cdc.gov/sasweb/ncipc/ypll10.html. Accessed November 1, 2002
Approximately 57% of suicides in the United States are committed with a firearm.
2National Center for Injury Prevention and Control. Injury mortality reports, 1999–2000. WISQARS injury mortality reports, 1999 and Later. 2002. Available at: http://webapp.cdc.gov/sasweb/ncipc/mortrate10.html. Accessed November 1, 2002
There is strong evidence based on studies using case–control,
3- Brent D.A.
- Perper J.A.
- Allman C.J.
- Moritz G.M.
- Wartella M.E.
- Zelenak J.P.
The presence and accessibility of firearms in the homes of adolescent suicides.
,
4- Conwell Y.
- Duberstein P.R.
- Conner K.R.
- Eberly S.
- Cox C.
- Caine E.D.
Access to firearms and risk for suicide in late life.
,
5- Bailey J.E.
- Kellermann A.L.
- Somes G.W.
- Banton J.G.
- Rivara F.P.
- Rushforth N.P.
Risk factors for violent death of women in the home.
,
6- Cummings P.
- Koepsell T.D.
- Grossman D.C.
- Savarino J.
- Thompson R.S.
The association between the purchase of a handgun and homicide or suicide.
,
7- Kellerman A.L.
- Rivara F.P.
- Somes G.
- et al.
Suicide in the home in relation to gun ownership.
retrospective cohort,
8- Wintemute G.J.
- Parham C.A.
- Beaumont J.J.
- Wright M.
- Drake C.
Mortality among recent purchasers of handguns.
and cross-sectional designs
9- Miller M.
- Azrael D.
- Hemenway D.
Household firearm ownership and suicide rates in the United States.
that firearm ownership/availability is associated with suicide.
The aforementioned data on gun ownership/availability suggest that laws restricting firearm availability will reduce the suicide rate. However, evidence for an association of
firearm restrictions and suicide is comparatively weak. One approach has been to use quasi-experimental designs to determine if changes in firearm laws have an impact on the rate of suicide. The data are mixed, with studies alternatively demonstrating that the implementation of tougher firearm restrictions was associated with a lower overall suicide rate,
10Gun control and suicide in Ontario.
,
11- Loftin C.
- McDowall D.
- Wiersema B.
- Talbert C.J.
Effects of restrictive licensing of handguns on homicide and suicide in the District of Columbia.
no change in the overall suicide rate,
12Homicide and suicide rates associated with implementation of the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act.
or no change in the overall rate except in subpopulations (e.g., urban men
13The impact of firearm control legislation on suicide in Queensland preliminary findings.
). Some studies suggest that alternative lethal methods for suicide are substituted when the accessibility of firearms is reduced through legislation.
13The impact of firearm control legislation on suicide in Queensland preliminary findings.
,
14- Sloan J.H.
- Rivara F.P.
- Reay D.T.
- Ferris J.A.
- Kellerman A.L.
Firearm regulations and rates of suicide a comparison of two metropolitan cities.
Other studies have not supported the method-substitution hypothesis.
10Gun control and suicide in Ontario.
,
11- Loftin C.
- McDowall D.
- Wiersema B.
- Talbert C.J.
Effects of restrictive licensing of handguns on homicide and suicide in the District of Columbia.
Cross-sectional studies in the states have demonstrated more consistently than quasi-experimental designs an association of more stringent firearm laws and lower suicide rates.
15Suicide rates, handgun control laws, and sociodemographic variables.
,
16The preventive effect of strict gun control laws on suicide and homicide.
,
17- Medoff M.H.
- Magaddino J.P.
Suicides and firearm control laws.
However, these studies used suicide rate data from 1985 or before, indicating the need for studies using more recent data given subsequent changes that may affect the association of state firearm laws and suicide. For example, the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act (Public Law 103-109) and the Violence Against Women Act (Public Law 103-322) carried federal mandates on firearm restrictions that necessitated implementation in many states whereas other states had similar, pre-existing laws already in effect. In addition, some data suggest that there has been an overall increase in handgun ownership in the United States.
18- Blendon R.J.
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- Hemenway D.
The American public and the gun control debate.
Finally, suicide among adolescent and young adult males rose dramatically before plateauing.
19Youth suicide prevention.
Firearms increase suicide risk in this group especially.
3- Brent D.A.
- Perper J.A.
- Allman C.J.
- Moritz G.M.
- Wartella M.E.
- Zelenak J.P.
The presence and accessibility of firearms in the homes of adolescent suicides.
,
7- Kellerman A.L.
- Rivara F.P.
- Somes G.
- et al.
Suicide in the home in relation to gun ownership.
,
8- Wintemute G.J.
- Parham C.A.
- Beaumont J.J.
- Wright M.
- Drake C.
Mortality among recent purchasers of handguns.
,
14- Sloan J.H.
- Rivara F.P.
- Reay D.T.
- Ferris J.A.
- Kellerman A.L.
Firearm regulations and rates of suicide a comparison of two metropolitan cities.
Although data on age-related effects of firearm legislation on suicide risk are limited,
12Homicide and suicide rates associated with implementation of the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act.
,
13The impact of firearm control legislation on suicide in Queensland preliminary findings.
studies of firearm ownership/availability have shown that adolescents and young adults,
7- Kellerman A.L.
- Rivara F.P.
- Somes G.
- et al.
Suicide in the home in relation to gun ownership.
,
8- Wintemute G.J.
- Parham C.A.
- Beaumont J.J.
- Wright M.
- Drake C.
Mortality among recent purchasers of handguns.
,
14- Sloan J.H.
- Rivara F.P.
- Reay D.T.
- Ferris J.A.
- Kellerman A.L.
Firearm regulations and rates of suicide a comparison of two metropolitan cities.
and possibly older adults,
4- Conwell Y.
- Duberstein P.R.
- Conner K.R.
- Eberly S.
- Cox C.
- Caine E.D.
Access to firearms and risk for suicide in late life.
,
20Birckmayer JD. The role of alcohol and firearms in youth suicide and homicide in the United States. Dissertation Abstracts International 1999;60 (6-B):2636
are especially vulnerable to suicide by firearms. Compared to age-related effects, data on gender and firearm risk are inconsistent. Studies of firearm laws have reported that lesser restrictions on the purchase of handguns are associated with higher rates of male (but not female) suicide rates
13The impact of firearm control legislation on suicide in Queensland preliminary findings.
,
17- Medoff M.H.
- Magaddino J.P.
Suicides and firearm control laws.
and firearm suicide rates.
12Homicide and suicide rates associated with implementation of the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act.
Data on ownership/availability, however, are mixed. Whereas case–control studies have shown that firearm ownership/availability confers risk in men more than in women,
4- Conwell Y.
- Duberstein P.R.
- Conner K.R.
- Eberly S.
- Cox C.
- Caine E.D.
Access to firearms and risk for suicide in late life.
,
7- Kellerman A.L.
- Rivara F.P.
- Somes G.
- et al.
Suicide in the home in relation to gun ownership.
,
21Brent DA, Perper JA, Moritz G, Baugher M, Schweers J, Roth C. Firearms and adolescent suicide: a community case-control study. Am J Dis Children 1993;147:1066–71
a large retrospective cohort investigation in California concluded that the purchase of a handgun increased the suicide rate in women more than in men,
8- Wintemute G.J.
- Parham C.A.
- Beaumont J.J.
- Wright M.
- Drake C.
Mortality among recent purchasers of handguns.
and a recent cross-sectional study of state and regional suicide rates showed that firearms are associated with comparable risk for suicide in men and women.
9- Miller M.
- Azrael D.
- Hemenway D.
Household firearm ownership and suicide rates in the United States.
A recent, rigorous cross-sectional investigation of the U.S. states showed a strong association of greater firearm
ownership and higher rates of suicide.
9- Miller M.
- Azrael D.
- Hemenway D.
Household firearm ownership and suicide rates in the United States.
However, contemporary cross-sectional data on state firearm
laws and rates of suicide are unavailable, and data on firearm restrictions may inform policy directly. Unlike reasonably consistent data that age moderates the association of firearm exposure and suicide, the data on gender, firearms, and suicide are equivocal. The purpose of this study was to analyze data on variability in firearm restrictions and suicide rates among states in the U.S. to evaluate two research questions: (1) to evaluate whether states with modest and unrestrictive firearm laws, compared to those with restrictive laws, have higher suicide incidence rates; and (2) to determine whether greater firearm availability may increase risk in men more so than in women, given data that men are more likely to own a firearm and to use a firearm in suicide.
Results
Results of the analyses of suicide rates stratified by gender are presented in
Table 3. Results in both sets of analyses were comparable; statistical control for covariates had little impact on the IRRs. Compared to states with restrictive firearm laws, suicide incidence rates in men and women were higher in states with unrestrictive firearm laws and those with modest firearm laws, respectively. In the analysis of men adjusted for covariates, the IRRs were 1.49 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23–1.82) and 1.51 (95% CI, 1.27–1.79) for unrestrictive firearm laws and modest firearm laws, respectively. In the analysis of women adjusted for covariates, the IRRs were 1.55 (95% CI, 1.27–1.95) and 1.64 (95% CI, 1.34–2.01) for unrestrictive firearm laws and modest firearm laws, respectively.
Table 3IRRs for suicide in states with unrestrictive and modest firearm laws compared to states with restrictive firearm laws
CI, confidence interval; IRR, incidence rate ratio.
Regarding the first research question, in men and women there were higher incidence rates of suicide in states with modest and unrestrictive firearm laws, respectively, compared to states with restrictive firearm laws. Results support that greater state restrictions on firearms are associated with lower incidence rates of suicide. In light of the lower suicide rates associated with greater firearm restrictions, the findings did not support the method substitution hypothesis that firearm restrictions would merely be counterbalanced by the adoption of alternative methods of suicide. Regarding the second research question, the magnitude of the incidence rate ratios in men and women were comparable. Findings did not support that lesser firearm restrictions were associated with higher suicide incidence rates in men than women.
Discussion
There were greater incidence rates of suicide in states with modest and unrestrictive firearm laws compared to those with restrictive firearm laws. The data support the hypothesis that state firearm laws are associated with suicide, and contradict assertions that restrictions on access to lethal methods will simply be offset by the adoption of alternative methods of suicide. Two mechanisms are probably operating. First, not all individuals with a preferred method will choose an alternative if their initial preference is unavailable.
27The relationship between firearms and suicide a review of the literature.
Second, even in cases where method substitution occurs, substitution may nonetheless increase the chances of survival given data that firearms are a particularly lethal method of attempting suicide.
28- Chapdelaine A.
- Samson E.
- Kimberly M.D.
Firearm related injuries in Canada issues for prevention.
,
29Suicide acts in 8 states incidence and evaluation.
The results did not support the hypothesis that firearm availability is more strongly associated with suicide in men than in women. The data are consistent with a rigorous, cross-sectional study of firearm ownership/availability and suicide by states that also showed that firearms are associated with comparable risk for suicide in men and women.
9- Miller M.
- Azrael D.
- Hemenway D.
Household firearm ownership and suicide rates in the United States.
The higher proportion of men committing suicide with firearms may be an artifact of higher rates of gun ownership among men rather than a reflection of men's greater preference to commit suicide using a firearm per se. In support of this interpretation, the 1.7:1 proportion of men versus women that use firearms to commit suicide
2National Center for Injury Prevention and Control. Injury mortality reports, 1999–2000. WISQARS injury mortality reports, 1999 and Later. 2002. Available at: http://webapp.cdc.gov/sasweb/ncipc/mortrate10.html. Accessed November 1, 2002
is very similar to the gender distribution of firearm ownership (1.9:1) and handgun ownership (1.7:1) in the general population.
23- Powell K.E.
- Jacklin B.C.
- Nelson D.E.
- Bland S.
State estimates of household exposure to firearms, loaded firearms, and handguns, 1991 through 1995.
Nonetheless, greater suicide mortality among men is presumed to be associated with modest and unrestrictive firearm laws given that the rate of suicide among men is four times higher than among women in the United States.
This study had a few limitations. Causality cannot be presumed given the cross-sectional design. Suicides using handguns versus other firearms could not be distinguished—a limitation in light of data indicating that handguns in particular are associated with suicide
4- Conwell Y.
- Duberstein P.R.
- Conner K.R.
- Eberly S.
- Cox C.
- Caine E.D.
Access to firearms and risk for suicide in late life.
,
16The preventive effect of strict gun control laws on suicide and homicide.
,
30Firearms and suicide in the United States.
and that state firearm laws target handguns.
22Open Society Institute. Gun control in the United States: a comparative survey of state firearm laws. Open Society Institute's Center on Crime, Communities & Culture and the Funder's Collaborative for Gun Violence Prevention 2000, April 11, 2002. Available at: www.soros.org/crime/guncontrol.htm. Accessed November 1, 2002
The measure of firearm restrictiveness did not allow for analyses of the impact of specific types of firearm legislation that may have differing effects on suicide.
12Homicide and suicide rates associated with implementation of the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act.
,
15Suicide rates, handgun control laws, and sociodemographic variables.
The measure also did not consider the level of enforcement of the laws or firearms purchased illegally. Taking into consideration the 95% CIs, results also did not support the hypothesis that rates of suicide differed between states with modest firearm laws versus those with unrestrictive laws, which may suggest that the distinction between modest and restrictive firearm laws may not be meaningful, at least as concerns suicide. In the United States, certifications of suicide are less likely to be made in women than in men,
31Reliability and sensitivity of suicide certification in higher-income countries.
attributable to the tendency of women to use less violent and potentially more ambiguous methods of suicide. Given that suicidal intent by women is more difficult to judge, data quality in analyses on women may be relatively poor.
The study also had several strengths, including support for the firearm restrictiveness measure against established measures of firearm ownership; statistical control for measures of race, income, and urbanization; and tests of a priori hypotheses concerning method substitution and gender. Findings underscore that minimal firearm laws are a potent population-level exposure for suicide in both men and women. Firearm restrictions such as those proposed by the American College of Preventive Medicine
32American College of Preventive Medicine
Preventing handgun injury American College of Preventive Medicine position statement.
are an important consideration in the design of population-based suicide prevention efforts. The findings also contribute to a growing body of evidence that policies that reduce availability of lethal methods in general may also reduce suicide mortality.
33- Hawton K.
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Effects of legislation restricting pack sizes of paracetamol and salicylate on self poisoning in the United Kingdom before and after study.
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Footnotes
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Copyright
© 2003 American Journal of Preventive Medicine. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.